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Sunday
Mar212010

Sport in the Year 2000 (1986)

The March, 1986 issue of Omni magazine featured a quiz readers could take to test their knowledge of what sports would be like in the year 2000 and beyond. The thing I find funny about this was that the "correct" answers were determined by one man, Peter Ueberroth, the commissioner of Major League Baseball. While he may have been one of the most qualified people to comment on the subject, the experts aren't necessarily better than average people at predicting the future. That being said, most of Ueberroth's predictions were pretty darn accurate.

Some of Ueberroth's predictions appear below.

  • Baseball will be the most popular sport in the year 2001.
  • Pete Rose's career hit record is unlikely to be broken.
  • No major American sport of the year 2000 will see men and women playing side by side.
  • Stricter medical standards will be applied to boxing.
  • 21st century Americans will cite Babe Ruth as the greatest male sports hero of the 20th century.
  • 21st century Americans will cite Wilma Rudolph as the greatest female sports hero of the 20th century.
  • The NHL, NFL and MLB will never institute a salary cap.
  • Greater restrictions will be placed on the sale of beer in stadiums.
  • By the year 2000 someone will run a sub-2 hour marathon.

 

Previously on Paleo-Future: 

 

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Reader Comments (5)

Baseball will be played only in so called "museum leagues" in the year 3001, for education only.

No major American sport of the year 3000 will see men and women playing side by side.

The sport of boxing will no longer exist as we know it.

In the future NBA, NFL, & NHL will not pay salary, but provide an all paid "luxury lifestyle" according to the players skill.

April 1, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterNOpe

I was surprised to see that baseball was still #1. According to the link below, the most popular pro sports are baseball, football, NASCAR, hockey, basketball, UFC, and golf. I thought basketball would be a lot more popular.

http://blog.compete.com/2007/04/20/ufc-ultimate-fighting-championship-popularity-growth/

Babe Ruth isn't even near the top of the list of most important or biggest sports heroes. A survey of nearly 5000 people puts him in 9th place after people like Michael Jordan, Wayne Gretzky, and Lance Armstrong (who admittedly retired after the end of the 20th century).

http://sports.gunaxin.com/who-is-the-most-dominant-athlete-ever/33963

I'd never heard of Wilma Rudolph, but she ranks 8th on this list of the greatest female athletes of the 20th century, after well-known people like Billie Jean King and Sonja Henie, and Jackie Joyner-Kersee, who won 6 Olympic medals just a few years after this prediction.

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/siforwomen/top_100/1/

Female athletes very infrequently make a splash in NHL hockey or PGA golf, but there's several female drivers in NASCAR, America's 3rd most important sport. Danica Patrick drives for the IRL as well as NASCAR, and she placed 3rd in the Indy 500 in 2009.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Female_NASCAR_drivers

Between the time of the prediction and 2000, the marathon world record only dropped by 2 minutes 26 seconds. It would need to have dropped by 8 minutes 6 seconds to fulfill the prediction. In 2010, there's still 4 minutes to go.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marathon_world_record

April 7, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterAshleyZ

The sudden fad for poker as a "sport" is coed, which might be part of its appeal.

April 22, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterA. Peon

For the benefit of people outside the US, which of these predictions actually came true?

May 2, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterCaf

He's close on many.

* Baseball will be the most popular sport in the year 2001. - NFL is unquestionably the most popular sport nationally in the USA, but MLB has by far the highest attendance due to the 162 game schedule.
* Pete Rose's career hit record is unlikely to be broken. - Correct, though Pete Rose has been banned from baseball and its hall of fame due to gambling on his own team since the end of his career.
* No major American sport of the year 2000 will see men and women playing side by side. - Ironically, NASCAR has women racers.
* Stricter medical standards will be applied to boxing. - I'm sure this is the case, UFC is often considered to be a safer sport in terms of long-term health.
* 21st century Americans will cite Babe Ruth as the greatest male sports hero of the 20th century. - He is definitely great but I think a lot of people would go with Michael Jordan or Jackie Robinson.
* 21st century Americans will cite Wilma Rudolph as the greatest female sports hero of the 20th century. - Who?
* The NHL, NFL and MLB will never institute a salary cap. - The NHL and NFL (and NBA) have salary caps now.
* Greater restrictions will be placed on the sale of beer in stadiums. - They turn off the taps after the 7th inning!
* By the year 2000 someone will run a sub-2 hour marathon. - The record, set in 2009, is 2:03.

October 18, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterYuppie Scum

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